What is RESILIENCE?

Aimed at the wind energy sector, RESILIENCE is a user-friendly tool to produce information of the future variability in wind power resources based on probabilistic climate predictions

What does RESILIENCE do?

RESILIENCE provides seasonal predictions of future wind speed at a global scale together with their forecast quality assessment

Who can RESILIENCE help?

Near-term climate variability, including extremes, can result in unexpected changes to wind power generation; RESILIENCE predictions can, for instance, help energy traders to better estimate wind power generation

Decision making process

analysis of seasonal prediction skill compared to information based on climatology alone
2 months in advance:
seasonal prediction of wind speed
seasonal predictions of wind power capacity
evaluation of climate-related opportunities and risks for decision of interest
inclusion in operational or planning strategy
1 month in advance:
refine decision process based on an update of the predictions
execute strategy based on an optimal understanding and management of future wind resource variability

About

RESILIENCE aims to strengthen the efficiency and security of wind power supply within energy networks, by providing robust information of the future variability in wind power resources based on probabilistic climate predictions.